Modeling stack voltage and remaining useful life of proton exchange membrane fuel cells using deep neural networks

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  • SDG 7 · Erişilebilir ve Temiz Enerji
  • SDG 13 · İklim Eylemi

Özet

Currently, various energy conversion systems are being developed to reduce environmental impacts. Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs), which stand out with their high efficiency characteristics, have emerged as an important alternative. However, these advantages, along with high costs and uncertainties regarding remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, restrict their further commercialization, especially in the automotive industry. This study presents a forecasting framework using a long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture enhanced with the Bahdanau attention mechanism for predicting RUL and long-term degradation trends. The model thus exhibits a performance that can more effectively capture dependencies in time series and adaptively weight significant time steps. Furthermore, the tree-structured parzen estimator (TPE) was chosen for the appropriate selection of hyperparameters in the developed forecasting framework. The validity, stability, and performance of the proposed model under different operating conditions were examined on the FC1 and FC2 datasets. Experimental studies have shown that the proposed method is the most successful among the best methods, achieving RE metric values of 1.628 × 10−3, 0.003 × 10−1, 99.16 × 10−2, and 0.044 × 10−1 respectively in estimating the best RMSE, MAPE, R2, and RUL.

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dc.contributor.authorDogan, Gurkan
dc.contributor.authorImak, Andaç
dc.date.accessioned2026-10-28T14:53:57.795661075Z
dc.date.available2026-10-28T14:53:57.795661075Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractCurrently, various energy conversion systems are being developed to reduce environmental impacts. Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs), which stand out with their high efficiency characteristics, have emerged as an important alternative. However, these advantages, along with high costs and uncertainties regarding remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, restrict their further commercialization, especially in the automotive industry. This study presents a forecasting framework using a long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture enhanced with the Bahdanau attention mechanism for predicting RUL and long-term degradation trends. The model thus exhibits a performance that can more effectively capture dependencies in time series and adaptively weight significant time steps. Furthermore, the tree-structured parzen estimator (TPE) was chosen for the appropriate selection of hyperparameters in the developed forecasting framework. The validity, stability, and performance of the proposed model under different operating conditions were examined on the FC1 and FC2 datasets. Experimental studies have shown that the proposed method is the most successful among the best methods, achieving RE metric values of 1.628 × 10−3, 0.003 × 10−1, 99.16 × 10−2, and 0.044 × 10−1 respectively in estimating the best RMSE, MAPE, R2, and RUL.
dc.identifier.articlenumber240842
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jpowsour.2026.240842
dc.identifier.eissn1873-2755
dc.identifier.issn0378-7753
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105043152675
dc.identifier.urihttps://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/munzur/1174
dc.identifier.volume690
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001814937400001
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier B.V.
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Power Sources
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectArtificial neural network
dc.subjectAttention mechanism
dc.subjectDegradation
dc.subjectFuel cell
dc.subjectPEMFC
dc.subjectXAI
dc.subject.classificationChemistry, Physical
dc.subject.classificationElectrochemistry
dc.subject.classificationEnergy & Fuels
dc.subject.classificationMaterials Science, Multidisciplinary
dc.subject.classificationChemistry
dc.subject.classificationMaterials Science
dc.subject.otherAutomotive industry
dc.subject.otherData mining
dc.subject.otherDeep neural networks
dc.subject.otherEnvironmental impact
dc.subject.otherForecasting
dc.subject.otherGas fuel purification
dc.subject.otherLong short-term memory
dc.subject.otherTrees (mathematics)
dc.subject.otherAttention mechanisms
dc.subject.otherEfficiency characteristic
dc.subject.otherEnergy conversion systems
dc.subject.otherHigher efficiency
dc.subject.otherNeural-networks
dc.subject.otherPerformance
dc.subject.otherProton-exchange membranes fuel cells
dc.subject.otherRemaining useful lives
dc.subject.otherStack voltages
dc.subject.otherXAI
dc.subject.otherDegradation
dc.subject.otherProton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC)
dc.titleModeling stack voltage and remaining useful life of proton exchange membrane fuel cells using deep neural networks
dc.typeArticle
rdl.citation.openalex0
rdl.citation.scopus0
rdl.citation.wos0
rdl.oa.statusclosed
rdl.scopus.quartileQ1
rdl.sdgSDG07
rdl.sdgSDG13
rdl.source.indexSCOPUS
rdl.source.indexWOS
rdl.wos.indexScience Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)