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- BildiriYalnız künye2020A risk assessment approach using both stochastic data and subjective judgments
Mete, Suleyman; Oz, Nurdan Ece; Gul, Muhammet; Serin, Faruk; Celik, Erkan; Kahraman, C.; Cevik Onar, S.; Oztaysi, B.; Sari, I.U.; Cebi, S.
Risk assessment describes the overall process regarding identifying hazards and risk factors that have the potential to cause harm, analyzing and evaluating the risk associated with that hazard and determining appropriate ways to eliminate the hazard or control the risk. In the literature, lots of approaches are proposed to prioritize hazards and associated risks quantitatively. Fuzzy sets-based multi-criteria decision-making approaches are forefront that they have the ability in expressing the risks verbally based on decision-maker’s opinions and judgments. MCDA-based risk assessment approaches explain different types of uncertainties, which are generally modeled using stochastic analysis or fuzzy sets. The stochastic analysis is more suitable in modelling the probabilistic uncertainty. Therefore, in this study, a risk assessment approach using both stochastic data and subjective judgments is proposed, and a case study is also performed in a construction project. The VIKOR method is extended and a new risk assessment approach is developed where part of the data is stochastic. A three-year data is used to determine a fitted probability distribution of respected frequency. Evaluation of risks with respect to severity and probability parameters are then made by subjective judgments. In conclusion, a risk prioritization and potential action plan suggestion is performed.
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İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2019Scopus SJRQ2Risk assessment for clearing and grading process of a natural gas pipeline project: An extended TOPSIS model with Pythagorean fuzzy sets for prioritizing hazards
Oz, Nurdan Ece; Mete, Suleyman; Serin, Faruk; Gul, Muhammet
A natural gas pipeline project is a broad construction system consisting of both offshore and onshore section, which aims to supply the natural gas to one country to another. In such these projects, main focus of the works should cover workplace, environment, health, and safety of workers and employers. To achieve this, a new occupational health and safety (OHS) risk assessment is necessary for reducing the negative effects of emerged risks. In this article, a fuzzy-based risk model is developed for prioritizing primary and residual risk. A two-dimensional (2D) risk matrix method is initially performed and the Pythagorean fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (PFTOPSIS) method is then used to prioritize previously identified hazards. For the prioritization of primary and residual risks, hazards are assessed against two parameters (probability and severity) of 2D risk matrix. Unlike previous risk assessment studies, PFTOPSIS is applied for the first time. The fuzzy model is applied to a case study for clearing and grading process of a natural gas pipeline project. A sensitivity analysis is also performed on parameter weights in order to validate the model.
AtıfScopus93WoS80OpenAlex97
İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2019Scopus SJRQ1A decision-support system based on Pythagorean fuzzy VIKOR for occupational risk assessment of a natural gas pipeline construction
Mete, Suleyman; Serin, Faruk; Oz, Nurdan Ece; Gul, Muhammet
Natural gas pipeline construction projects are major projects between countries that include onshore and offshore sections. Aim of these projects is to supply the natural gas from one place to another. Safety of workplace, environment and employers is also another important argument. In this respect, it is essential to conduct an occupational risk assessment (ORA) study to eliminate the risks that may arise around the pipeline. Application of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods for the ORA has shown great increase recently. Also, developing a decision support system (DSS) which is easy to use and capable of extracting results enables decision makers to assess health and safety risks. Therefore, (i) A DSS based on Pythagorean fuzzy VIKOR (PFVIKOR) in ORA literature is developed for the first time; (ii) A case study is employed to risk assessment for trenchless crossings installation by auger boring process of the pipeline project; (iii) A sensitivity analysis is performed in the results of PFVIKOR-based DSS; and (iv) Two additional risk parameters called sensitivity to PPE non-utilization and undetectability are considered in ORA process apart from the classical risk assessment parameters of severity and probability. Developing such a DSS and applying it for risk assessment in a natural gas pipeline construction will contribute stakeholders in the energy industry.
AtıfScopus89WoS67OpenAlex83İncele