Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Yayınlar
- MakaleYalnız künye2026Scopus SJRQ1Innovative solutions for aquaculture: detecting fish diseases with hybrid deep learning model and explainable artificial intelligence
Utku, Anıl; Barut, Abdulkadir; Alofaysan, Hind
Early identification of fish diseases is critical to maintain aquaculture and minimize its financial burden. In the diagnosis of diseases, time is critical and scientists’ experience is imperative, which makes the artificial intelligence-based models necessary. It is intended by this study to integrate deep learning with explainable artificial intelligence methods to establish an artificial intelligence-powered framework for early detection of disease in fish. In this study, we developed a hybrid artificial intelligence system designed to detect diseases in freshwater fish by analyzing skin images. The primary objectives of the system are to minimize economic losses, prevent further disease spread, and ultimately increase aquaculture productivity. For this purpose, we used a dataset consisting of images from seven different disease categories, with 250 images in each class. A new hybrid model, Residual Network-50–Vision Transformer, was developed by integrating the strengths of Residual Network-50 and Vision Transformer architectures to improve classification accuracy. The proposed model was subjected to rigorous comparison with established architectures, including Visual Geometry Group 16, Mobile Convolutional Neural Network Version 2, Efficient Neural Network–Baseline Model B0, standalone Vision Transformer, and the original Residual Network-50. The results demonstrated that Residual Network-50–Vision Transformer outperformed the model, achieving an impressive 99.14% accuracy rate. Furthermore, the study employed local interpretable model-independent explanations to explain which image features most significantly influence the model’s classification decisions, thereby enhancing the interpretability and confidence in the model’s output. The application of such advanced image processing models in combination with explainable AI techniques demonstrates significant potential to support sustainable aquaculture by reducing disease outbreaks and associated financial losses.
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İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2026Scopus SJRQ1Quantifying agricultural resilience under climate variability: a data-driven climate resilience index for European cereal systems
Utku, Anil; Radulescu, Magdalena; Barut, Abdulkadir; Alofaysan, Hind
Climate variability and extreme weather events pose an increasingly serious threat to agricultural productivity in Europe. Although many studies have focused on the mean yield response to climate change, relatively few have attempted to offer a comprehensive, multi-dimensional view of agricultural resilience, separating long-term productivity trends from short-term climate-induced fluctuations. In this paper, a data-driven Climate Resilience Index is proposed to assess the resilience of European cereal systems under climate stress. Annual yield time series are decomposed into trend and anomaly components to identify interannual deviations driven by climate variability. Machine learning and deep learning algorithms, including RF, CatBoost, CNN, LSTM, TCN, and a TCN-LSTM hybrid model, are used to assess the predictive validity of climate extreme indices and persistence patterns. Among the evaluated models, the TCN-LSTM architecture achieved the highest predictive performance with 0.8347 R2, outperforming standalone temporal and ensemble-based models. The PCA-based exposure framework explained 68.4% of the total climate variability within the first principal component, indicating a highly concentrated climate-stress structure. Feature importance analyses further revealed that lagged yield anomalies and rolling volatility indicators were the dominant predictors of resilience dynamics. The findings show that temporal models perform better than traditional ensemble methods, emphasizing the significance of multi-year recovery mechanisms in anomaly evolution. To provide a consistent measure of exposure, principal component analysis is used to reduce correlated climate indicators into a multi-dimensional climate stress index. The CRI captures these three essential elements: climate exposure, yield variability, and recovery. The results at the country level show substantial variability across Europe, indicating that while exposure intensity is important, recovery dynamics are also critical to understanding resilience. The results also show that there are structurally distinct resilience profiles, and robustness tests indicate that country rankings are not sensitive to different weights and recovery functions. The results clearly show that recovery and adaptive capacity are critical to agricultural sustainability amid growing climate uncertainty. The CRI developed in this paper provides a clear, empirically valid framework for comparing resilience in agricultural systems.
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İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2026Scopus SJRQ2Federated agricultural yield forecasting under an Edge–Fog–Cloud framework: a multi-country privacy-preserving approach
Utku, Anıl; Barut, Abdulkadir; Alofaysan, Hind; Henni, Mohamed Djafar; Amoozegar, Azadeh
Predicting agricultural yields is crucial for ensuring global food security and adaptation to climate change. However, the centralized collection of agricultural data across countries might pose governance, privacy, and data sovereignty issues. This research presents a privacy-preserving model for predicting agricultural yields using federated learning within an edge-fog-cloud integrated architecture. The experiments have been performed on a European cereal production dataset for the period 1990–2022, using a time-aware forecasting scheme. Centralized, edge-only, federated, and hybrid learning techniques have been systematically compared to examine the influence of distributed optimization on forecasting performance. It can be seen that central classical machine learning algorithms have yielded the best predictive performance. Federated deep learning models, meanwhile, showed relatively poor forecasting accuracy compared to their centralized counterparts under a non-IID distribution of multi-country agricultural data. Edge-only learning, meanwhile, has yielded comparatively low generalization capabilities due to the absence of collaborative learning.
- MakaleAçık Erişim2025Scopus SJRQ2Advancing Air Quality Monitoring: Deep Learning-Based CNN-RNN Hybrid Model for PM2.5 Forecasting
Utku, Anıl; Can, Umit; Alpsülün, Mustafa; Balıkçı, Hasan Celal; Amoozegar, Azadeh; Pilatin, Abdulmuttalip; Barut, Abdulkadir
Particulate matter, particularly PM2.5, poses a significant threat to public health due to its ability to disperse widely and its detrimental impact on the respiratory and circulatory systems upon inhalation. Consequently, it is imperative to maintain regular monitoring and assessment of particulate matter levels to anticipate air pollution events and promptly mitigate their adverse effects. However, predicting air quality is inherently complex, given the multitude of variables that influence it. Deep learning models, renowned for their ability to capture nonlinear relationships, offer a promising approach to address this challenge, with hybrid architectures demonstrating enhanced performance. This study aims to develop and evaluate a hybrid model integrating Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for forecasting PM2.5 levels in India, Milan, and Frankfurt. A comparative analysis with established deep learning and machine learning techniques substantiates the superior predictive capabilities of the proposed CNN-RNN model. The findings underscore its potential as an effective tool for air quality prediction, with implications for informed decision-making and proactive intervention strategies to safeguard public health.
AtıfScopus10WoS6OpenAlex11İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2023Scopus SJRQ1A long short-term memory-based hybrid model optimized using a genetic algorithm for particulate matter 2.5 prediction
Utku, Anıl; Can, Ümit; Kamal, Mustafa; Das, Narasingha; Cifuentes-Faura, Javier; Barut, Abdulkadir
Beijing, Shanghai, Singapore, and London are regions with high population density and industrial activities. In this sense, accurate prediction of the rate of particulate matter 2.5 (PM_2.5), one of the most important air pollutants, is very important for creating a healthy ecological system. This study proposes a hybrid method to predict PM_2.5 with high success. This method aims to optimize the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning model, which successfully solves time series problems with a Genetic Algorithm (GA). Here, the hyperparameters of the LSTM model, such as the number of layers, number of neurons, number of epochs, and kernel size, are optimized to achieve the highest prediction rate. Against this backdrop, the present study uses for the first time a hybrid GA-LSTM model to predict PM_2.5 concentrations in Beijing, Shanghai, Singapore, and London. The Beijing dataset consists of 13 attributes, the Shanghai dataset consists of 10 attributes, the London dataset consists of 5 attributes, and the Singapore dataset consists of 7 attributes. In this study, input variables such as PM_2.5, DEWP, TEMP, PRESS, WS, WD, PRE, Snowfall hours, Rain hours, and Season were used. To assess the effectiveness of this hybrid method, the developed GA-LSTM model was compared with k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), LSTM, and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU). Experimental results showed that GA-LSTM outperformed the compared models. In addition, one of the best results was obtained compared to other models in the literature.
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