Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

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Yazarlar

• Alhaj Hamoud, Yousef(1)
• Alofaysan, Hind(1)
• Barut, Abdulkadir(1)
• Er, Hasan(1)
• Eren, Ömer(1)
• Khalifa, Muhammad(1)
• Mwamahonje, Andekelile(1)
• Omac, Basri(1)
• Radulescu, Magdalena(1)
• Shaghaleh, Hiba(1)
• Tutar, Halit(1)
• Utku, Anil(1)
• Yildirim, Gokhan(1)
• Zheng, Mingke(1)

• MakaleAçık Erişim2026Scopus SJRQ1/r/munzur/1136
  Quantifying agricultural resilience under climate variability: a data-driven climate resilience index for European cereal systems

  Utku, Anil; Radulescu, Magdalena; Barut, Abdulkadir; Alofaysan, Hind

  Climate variability and extreme weather events pose an increasingly serious threat to agricultural productivity in Europe. Although many studies have focused on the mean yield response to climate change, relatively few have attempted to offer a comprehensive, multi-dimensional view of agricultural resilience, separating long-term productivity trends from short-term climate-induced fluctuations. In this paper, a data-driven Climate Resilience Index is proposed to assess the resilience of European cereal systems under climate stress. Annual yield time series are decomposed into trend and anomaly components to identify interannual deviations driven by climate variability. Machine learning and deep learning algorithms, including RF, CatBoost, CNN, LSTM, TCN, and a TCN-LSTM hybrid model, are used to assess the predictive validity of climate extreme indices and persistence patterns. Among the evaluated models, the TCN-LSTM architecture achieved the highest predictive performance with 0.8347 R2, outperforming standalone temporal and ensemble-based models. The PCA-based exposure framework explained 68.4% of the total climate variability within the first principal component, indicating a highly concentrated climate-stress structure. Feature importance analyses further revealed that lagged yield anomalies and rolling volatility indicators were the dominant predictors of resilience dynamics. The findings show that temporal models perform better than traditional ensemble methods, emphasizing the significance of multi-year recovery mechanisms in anomaly evolution. To provide a consistent measure of exposure, principal component analysis is used to reduce correlated climate indicators into a multi-dimensional climate stress index. The CRI captures these three essential elements: climate exposure, yield variability, and recovery. The results at the country level show substantial variability across Europe, indicating that while exposure intensity is important, recovery dynamics are also critical to understanding resilience. The results also show that there are structurally distinct resilience profiles, and robustness tests indicate that country rankings are not sensitive to different weights and recovery functions. The results clearly show that recovery and adaptive capacity are critical to agricultural sustainability amid growing climate uncertainty. The CRI developed in this paper provides a clear, empirically valid framework for comparing resilience in agricultural systems.

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  AtıfScopus1·OpenAlex2

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• Derleme MakaleYalnız künye2026Scopus SJRQ1/r/munzur/834
  Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on the Sustainability of Sorghum Production: A Bibliometric Analysis

  Zheng, Mingke; Tutar, Halit; Shaghaleh, Hiba; Alhaj Hamoud, Yousef; Er, Hasan; Omac, Basri; Yildirim, Gokhan; Eren, Ömer; Khalifa, Muhammad; Mwamahonje, Andekelile

  Sorghum is a crucial crop for sustainable agriculture due to its drought resistance, low carbon footprint, and diverse applications in food, feed, and bioenergy. However, understanding the impact of climate change on sorghum production is essential for ensuring its future sustainability. This study conducts a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of scientific publications related to sorghum and climate change using the Web of Science (WoS) database, covering the period from 1984 to 2024. A total of 1053 relevant papers were analyzed, revealing an average annual growth rate of 12.73% and an average citation count of 32.02 per document. Most of the publications (83.5%) were research articles, while 9.7% were review papers. Among the contributing researchers, Prasad PVV emerged as the most productive author based on an h-index of 13, whereas the United States was identified as the most influential country, contributing 235 documents and 13,750 citations. Keyword clustering analysis identified five major research themes, including sustainable energy and environmental impacts, climate resilience, socioeconomic effects of climate change, and key crops. The findings of this study offer valuable scientific insights to guide future research and policymaking on climate change and sorghum sustainability.

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  AtıfScopus4·OpenAlex3

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