Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

Yazarlar

  • MakaleAçık Erişim2025
    Earthquake Hazard in Urban Areas of Bursa Province: Paleosismological Properties of the Ulubat, Bursa and İnegöl Active Faults

    Karabacak, Volkan; Sançar, Taylan

    This study provides a detailed mapping of active fault segments in Bursa and its surrounding regions, along with a comprehensive analysis of seismic behavior derived from paleoseismological data. As one of T & uuml;rkiyes' strategic economic centers with a dense population and industrial infrastructure, Bursa requires a holistic seismic risk assessment for effective disaster preparedness and mitigation. Paleoseismological analyses of the eastern segment of the Ulubat Fault indicate that it has been in a seismic quiescence period for approximately 1855 years. This prolonged period of inactivity highlights the potential for a large earthquake in the future around the Nil & uuml;fer Region of Bursa. Trench investigations conducted in Bursa city-centre reveal that the Bursa Fault has produced at least six surface ruptures over the past 12000 years, recurring approximately every 2000 years. Additionally, trench studies on the & Idot;neg & ouml;l Fault indicate that the & Idot;neg & ouml;l Fault has produced at least five surface ruptures over the last 12000 years, with the most recent major earthquake occurring more than 2500 years ago. Obtained results emphasize the potential for the Bursa and & Idot;neg & ouml;l faults to rupture simultaneously or in close succession, possibly triggering one another. Thus, the surface rupture caused by the 1855 Bursa earthquake is evaluated to have potentially triggered stress accumulation along the & Idot;neg & ouml;l Fault. This situation reveals a high probability of a surface-rupturing earthquake (M=6.2-6.9) occurring at any time on the & Idot;neg & ouml;l Fault, after 2500 years of seismic silence. Overall, these findings underscore the critical role of the faults in Bursa and its surroundings within the regional seismicity. In particular, the potential for sequential ruptures along the Bursa and & Idot;neg & ouml;l faults presents a significant earthquake hazard. This comprehensive analysis contributes to a deeper understanding of the seismotectonic dynamics of the region, providing valuable insights for seismic hazard assessment and risk mitigation efforts.

    • SDG 11 · Sürdürülebilir Şehirler ve Topluluklar
    AtıfWoS2OpenAlex3
    Web of ScienceTR Dizinİncele
  • MakaleAçık Erişim2023Scopus SJRQ2
    Paleoseismology of the Ganos segment; the western extend of the North Anatolian Fault (Turkey)

    Aksoy, Murat Ersen; Meghraoui, Mustapha; Ferry, Matthieu; Çakir, Ziyadin; Uçarkuş, Gülsen; Sançar, Taylan; Altin, Mehmet Uğur

    The Ganos fault that ruptured on 9 August 1912 (Mw: 7.4) is the westernmost inland segment of the North Anatolian fault (NAF). Here, the Ganos fault is bounded at its two tips with offshore faults segments, in the Sea of Marmara to the east and the Gulf of Saros to the west in the North Aegean Trough. Therefore, the paleoseismology of the 45-km-long inland fault is of importance to the seismic hazard analysis related to offshore active faults and in particular for the seismic gap in the Marmara Region. Earlier studies have established an earthquake chronology for the western and eastern inland tips of the Ganos fault. Here, we extend the paleoseismic studies toward the central segment. Three trenches at Yörgüç have revealed evidence for two faulting events, possibly post-1669 CE ±30 years, which can be correlated to the 1659 or 1766, and the 1912 historical earthquakes. At Yeniköy, we determined an offset of 46 ± 1 m and 47 ± 1 m on a stream channel and a ridge-crest, respectively. In two trenches we determined two faulting events for the last 1000 years and seven events for the last 3500 years. In trench T5, the base of the displaced stream channel provides a calibrated date of 829–591 BCE. Using the 46 ± 1 m right-lateral displacement, we calculate a slip rate of 16.9 ± 0.7 mm/year for the last 2732 ± 119 years. A combined analysis with earlier paleoseismic studies on the Ganos fault suggests that the historical earthquakes of 1912, 1766b or 1659, 1354 or 1343a, and 1063 ruptured the entire inland fault section. In such a case, the recurrence interval for this section of the NAF corresponds to 283 ± 81 years. Combining earlier estimations, we suggest an average slip rate of 17.1 ± 0.9 mm/year for the last 2700 years and observe a characteristic slip behavior of 4.5 to 5 m per event for this section of the North Anatolian plate boundary fault.

    AtıfScopus1OpenAlex2
    ScopusWeb of ScienceTR Dizinİncele
  • MakaleAçık Erişim2021
    Paleoseismicity of the Ulubat Fault: Inferences on Seismic Behaviour of the Southern Branch of the North Anatolian Fault Zone, South Marmara; [Ulubat Fayı’nın Paleosismisitesi: Kuzey Anadolu Fay Zonu Güney Kolunun Deprem Davranışı Üzerine Çıkarımlar, Güney Marmara]

    Karabacak, Volkan; Sancar, Taylan; Selcuk, Azad Saglam; Buyukdeniz, Yusuf

    This article presents the results of the first paleoseismological studies conducted along the Ulubat Fault and their inferences on the earthquake behavior of the south branch of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ). The Ulubat Fault is divided into 3 segments according to its geometric characteristics and paleoseismological behavior. Along the fault segments, at least 6 paleoearthquake event have been distinguished in the last 16 thousand years with paleoseismolgic fault excavations. The dating results correlated with the historical records show that the latest surface ruptures along the Ulubat Fault occurred with the earthquakes of <161/170 AD (I=IX), 1143 AD (M=6.0) and 1855 AD (M=7.3), respectively, and migrated to the west. Although it does not provide sufficient statistical evaluation opportunity, the paleoseismological data presented in this study proves that the segments of the NAFZ south branch do not present characteristic earthquake behavior in terms of recurrence period and this irregularity may be due to the multi-fragment geometry of the fault zone in the region.

    AtıfScopus6OpenAlex6TR Dizin4
    ScopusTR Dizinİncele
  • MakaleAçık Erişim2021
    Active Tectonic Setting and Paleoseismicity of the Sancak-Uzunpazar Fault Zone; [Sancak-Uzunpazar Fay Zonu’nun Genç Tektonik Konumu ve Paleosismitesi]

    Selcuk, Azad Saglam; Erturac, Mehmet Korhan; Karabacak, Volkan; Sancar, Taylan; Kul, Ahmet Ozkan; Yavuz, Mehmet Ali

    Sancak-Uzunpazar Fault Zone is N40E-trending sinistral shear zone that has a 50 km length and 5 km width between Karakocan (Elazığ) in southwest and Kaynarpınar (Bingöl) in northeast. The fault extends parallelly to East Anatolian Fault is bounded by the North Anatolian Fault to the northeast and Karakoçan Fault to the southeast. Herein, morphological features, the tectonic setting of the Sancak-Uzunpazar Fault Zone and the first paleoseismological studies on it is represented. The Sancak-Uzunpazar Fault Zone is consist of two parallel segments (called East and West) with a 1.5 km distance. Conducted field studies and aerial photogrometry show that the segments exhibit morphological features like faceted surfaces, faulted scarps, shutter ridges, and offset streams. Especially, average offsets are about 7-12 m along the eastern segment while the cumulative maximum offset reaches 1.1 km. Moreover, revealed paleoseismological data show evidence of at least two surface ruptures during Holocene. Obtained morphological data reveal that the Sancak-Uzunpazar Fault Zone may have a relatively lower slip rate when compared to other active faults in the region and the reflection of the slip rate to the morphology is more evident in the eastern segment.

    AtıfScopus1OpenAlex2TR Dizin3
    ScopusTR Dizinİncele
  • MakaleYalnız künye2019Scopus SJRQ2
    Geometry and Paleoseismology of the Malatya Fault (Malatya-Ovack Fault Zone), Eastern Turkey: Implications for intraplate deformation of the Anatolian Scholle

    Sançar, Taylan; Zabci, Cengiz; Karabacak, Volkan; Yazici, Muge; Akyüz, H. Serdar

    The sinistral Malatya-Ovack Fault Zone (MOFZ) is one of the outstanding intraplate deformation belts within Anatolia. The 165-km-long, NE-SW-striking Malatya Fault (MF), which constitutes the southern section of the MOFZ, is separated into five segments according to its surface geometry. These segments have evident morphotectonic features that reflect long- and short-term fault activity, such as morphologic structures offset by as little as 7m and as much as 7.3km. This study provides results from the first paleoseismological investigations on the MF. We find that the last earthquake occurred between 965 and 549 BCE and calculate a recurrence interval of 2275 +/- 605years from evidence for four paleo-events over the last 10ka. Considering fault segmentation and our paleoseismological data, we propose that the accumulated strain on the MF may cause a destructive earthquake (M=7.4) in the near future. Our results support the hypotheses that the MF and other NW-striking dextral and NE-striking sinistral strike-slip faults within the eastern part of Anatolia are plate boundary-related, active deformational structures.

    AtıfWoS19OpenAlex29
    Web of Scienceİncele
  • MakaleAçık Erişim2014
    Paleoseismology of the Ilipinar Segment (Karliova, Bingol), The North Anatolian Fault Zone

    Sançar, Taylan; Akyüz, H. Serdar

    The last century earthquakes produced more than 1000 km surface rupture on the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ), which is one of the most active deformation belts in the World. Paleoseismic data from different parts of the NAFZ exposes critical information about the earthquake history of the fault zone. To research paleoseismicity of the Ilipinar Segment and relationship between the segment and last century earthquakes, two paleoseismologic trench studies performed on the Yoncalik basin, where positioned at eastern section of the Ilipinar segment. We identified two paleo-earthquakes, which correspond to BC 8500-6150 and BC 5960-4300 time intervals in the Yoncalik-1 trench. On the other hand the analyses of stratigraphy and structural features of the Yoncalik-2 trench similarly yield two events, from which the older happened before BC 6325 and the younger was between BC 6325-2105. Despite of the wide range of these intervals, both trench results are coincide within their uncertainty limits. We interpret that events in both trenches reflects the same surface ruptures. By the joint analysis of both trenches, we conclude that the most recent and penultimate events should have occurred between BC 5960-4300 and BC 8500-6325, respectively. The results from paleoseismology of the Ilipinar Segment, which constitute the easternmost part of the NAFZ, indicate that the seismic behaviour of the segment is not in accord with the general characteristic of the NAFZ. The reasons behind the disparity are considered to be related with complex fault geometry in the vicinity of Karliova triple junction and partitioning of accumulated strain on these structures.

    AtıfWoS7OpenAlex5
    Web of Scienceİncele