Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Yazarlar
- Sançar, Taylan(5)
- Zabci, Cengiz(4)
- Akyüz, H. Serdar(3)
- Onat, Onur(3)
- Yazici, Muge(2)
- Akcayol, Muhammet Ali(1)
- Akyuz, H. Serdar(1)
- Akçar, Naki(1)
- Alp Dal, Nursel(1)
- Altunişik, Ahmet Can(1)
- Aruser, Ulkin Gunduz(1)
- Ates, Erdem(1)
- Baltaci, Alihan(1)
- Correia, António A.(1)
- Derya Beydağ, Kerime(1)
- Friedrich, Anke M.(1)
- Gul, Muhammet(1)
- Gundogdu, Yunus Emre(1)
- Ivy-Ochs, Susan(1)
- Karabacak, Volkan(1)
- Keçeci̇, Bedirhan(1)
- Koçak, Ali(1)
- Kurt, Nuray(1)
- Lourenço, Paulo B.(1)
- Nagórska, Anna(1)
- Nagórska, Małgorzata(1)
- Natal'in, Boris A.(1)
- Polat, Alper(1)
- Polat, Berivan Yilmazer(1)
- Sertçelik, Fadime(1)
- Sunca, Fezayil(1)
- Tikhomirov, Dmitry(1)
- Utku, Anıl(1)
- Vockenhuber, Christof(1)
- Yazici, Müge(1)
- Yön, Burak(1)
- Çeken, Ulubey(1)
- İçen, Abdullah(1)
- Şahi̇n, Muhammed Cihat(1)
- Şen, Doğa(1)
Yayınlar
- MakaleAçık Erişim2026Analysis of buildings in Tunceli - Pülümür district with the Canadian seismic screening method
Gundogdu, Yunus Emre; Polat, Berivan Yilmazer
This study, which was conducted in the P & uuml;l & uuml;m & uuml;r district of Tunceli, was carried out in an area with high seismic risk due to the region's proximity to the Bing & ouml;l-Yedisu Fault. In the study, the earthquake safety of the existing building stock was assessed using visual inspection methods. In this context, 172 buildings in the P & uuml;l & uuml;m & uuml;r district of Tunceli province were examined in detail in terms of earthquake safety using the Canadian Seismic Screening Method. In the analysis, seismic safety levels of the buildings, structural and nonstructural risks were taken into consideration and seismic priority indexes (SPI) were determined. The results of the study revealed that a large portion of buildings in the P & uuml;l & uuml;m & uuml;r district carry different levels of risk of earthquake. Specifically, the evaluated building stock was entirely constructed before the critical year of 2007 and exhibits high seismic vulnerability. This critical threshold is technically attributed to two main regional factors: the design practices predating the 2007 Turkish Earthquake Code and the absence of ready-mixed concrete technology in Tunceli province prior to that year. Furthermore, based on the method's classification, it is suggested that buildings with a Seismic Priority Index (SPI) greater than 20, which indicates High to Very Hazardous risk levels, should be prioritized for detailed assessment and retrofitting, and that local governments should develop incentive policies for these mitigation efforts.
- MakaleYayıncıda açık erişim2026Scopus SJRQ1Experimental study of an alternative precast concrete beam–column connection with embedded steel block detail
Baltaci, Alihan; Sunca, Fezayil; Şahi̇n, Muhammed Cihat; Şen, Doğa; Keçeci̇, Bedirhan; Polat, Alper; Altunişik, Ahmet Can
Precast systems have gained increasing popularity due to their advantages in construction speed, cost efficiency, and quality control. However, past earthquakes have revealed that beam–column connections are often the most vulnerable regions in precast structures, making their seismic performance a critical area of investigation. This study investigates the cyclic behavior of two full-scale precast specimens with different beam–column connection configurations: a code-compliant, Moment-Resisting Emulative-Welded Connection detail (MRCON) and an alternative Embedded Steel Block Connection detail (ESBCON). Both specimens were tested under quasi-static reversed cyclic loading to evaluate their hysteretic response, energy dissipation, stiffness degradation, residual displacements, and modal characteristics. The results demonstrate that while MRCON provided higher initial stiffness and energy dissipation, it experienced severe localized damage and rapid structural deterioration at larger drift ratios. In contrast, the embedded steel block in ESBCON successfully distributed the damage across a wider joint region, leading to a more gradual stiffness reduction and slightly lower residual displacements. Although the overall structural efficiency of ESBCON was partially hindered by the slippage of the steel block, it achieved a competitive level of moment transfer capacity compared to the conventional welded connection detail, highlighting its potential as a damage-distributing alternative once slip-mitigating modifications (surface roughening to enhance bond and embedding within the column) are implemented.
- MakaleAçık Erişim2025Scopus SJRQ3Period poverty among women after the 2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake in Turkey – a cross-sectional study
Alp Dal, Nursel; Kurt, Nuray; Derya Beydağ, Kerime; Aruser, Ulkin Gunduz; Nagórska, Anna; Nagórska, Małgorzata
Introduction and Objective. Menstrual poverty lies at the intersection of poverty, sustainability, reproductive rights, and gender inequality. The study investigates menstrual poverty among women affected by the 2023 earthquake in Turkey. Materials and Method. A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted between 24 April – 24 May 2023 with 400 women impacted by the earthquake. Data were collected via social media using a survey form. Chi-square tests, Bonferroni test, and binary logistic regression model were used for statistical analysis. Results. The mean age of participants was 27.27 ± 8.40 years; 69.5% had higher education, 57.0% lived in urban areas, and 90.5% had no chronic disease. A significant relationship was found between access to menstrual products and basic needs (clean water, toilet paper, soap, safe toilet access, and healthcare) during menstruation after the earthquake (p<0.05). A significant correlation was also observed between disruptions to the menstrual cycle and the following variables: lack of privacy, perception that lack of privacy affected menstruation, healthcare access, and difficulty obtaining menstrual products (p<0.05). Conclusions. Most participants faced difficulties accessing menstrual products, water, hygiene supplies, privacy, and healthcare. Those living in tents or containers reported greater challenges. These barriers contributed to menstrual poverty and impacted women’s cycles. As menstrual health and hygiene are basic needs and human rights, menstrual poverty must be addressed globally.
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İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2025Scopus SJRQ2A New Ground-Motion Prediction Model for Shallow Crustal Earthquakes in Türkiye
Çeken, Ulubey; Sertçelik, Fadime; İçen, Abdullah
The recent expansion of the strong-motion observation network, along with the increase in data obtained during major earthquakes and efforts to create consistent metadata for source, path, and site effects for both old and new records, has significantly improved the quality of data and the level of modeling in Türkiye. The mainshock and aftershock records of the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake doublet (MW 7.8 and 7.7), which are among the most destructive earthquakes in world history, constitute an up-to-date and important data source for this study. In this study, we present new ground-motion prediction models (GMPMs) for shallow crustal earthquakes using strong-motion data recorded in Türkiye. Our GMPMs are calibrated using 20,173 strong-motion records from 1565 shallow crustal earthquakes with depths of less than 35 km that occurred in Türkiye and its vicinity between 1976 and 2023. Our model is valid for magnitudes ranging from 4.0 to 7.8 (MW), and for the time-averaged 30 m shear wave velocity (VS30) values of 975 stations, which ranged from 131 to 1862 m/s. In the analyses performed, using the recently developed site amplification model, we calculated the model coefficients using the mixed-effects regression algorithms used by the GMPM developers. Additionally, a heteroscedastic model was created for aleatory variability as a function of MW. The closest distance to the surface projection of the fault plane (RJB) is between 0 and 350 km. Using the metadata prepared according to these criteria, we derived up-to-date ground-motion prediction models for horizontal-component peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground acceleration (PGA), and 5% damped pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) response spectra, at 36 periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. The variability in the predictions was decomposed into within-event, between-event, and site-to-site deviations to determine the total standard deviations (σ). Compared to previous models, the proposed GMPMs were developed using a much richer database with recent major earthquakes, and the consistent estimates and lower residuals in the comparisons support the reliability of the models.
AtıfScopus4WoS3OpenAlex4İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2024Scopus SJRQ3The Effect of Earthquakes on International Trade: The Example of the 6 February 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquakes; [Depremlerin Uluslararasi Ticaret Üzerine Etkisi: 6 Şubat 2023 Kahramanmaraş Depremleri Örneǧi]
Ates, Erdem
On February 6, 2023, two earthquakes occurred in Kahramanmaraş province, which are among the largest earthquakes in the history of Türkiye. The purpose of the study is to determine how these earthquakes affected the exports and imports of the region. In the study, export and import data of Türkiye and 11 provinces declared as earthquake zones were used monthly for the period from January 2021 to December 2023. In the study, the foreign trade data of the region were first examined descriptively and then with the Bai and Perron test to determine whether the earthquake caused a structural break. As a result, it was determined that the earthquakes caused a structural break in both exports and imports. After the earthquakes, exports quickly returned to their pre-earthquake levels, but a similar recovery was not observed in imports.
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İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2024Scopus SJRQ2Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction
Utku, Anıl; Akcayol, Muhammet Ali
Earthquakes are one of the most dangerous natural disasters that have constantly threatened humanity in the last decade. Therefore, it is extremely important to take preventive measures against earthquakes. Time estimation in these dangerous events is becoming more specific, especially in order to minimize the damage caused by earthquakes. In this study, a hybrid deep learning model is proposed to predict the time of the next earthquake to potentially occur. The developed CNN+GRU model was compared with RF, ARIMA, CNN and GRU. These models were tested using an earthquake dataset. Experimental results show that the CNN+GRU model performs better than others according to MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE metrics. This study highlights the importance of predicting earthquakes, providing a way to help take more effective precautions against earthquakes and potentially minimize loss of life and material damage. This study should be considered an important step in the methods used to predict future earthquakes and supports efforts to reduce earthquake risks.
AtıfScopus6WoS5TR Dizin4İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2023Scopus SJRQ2Internal deformation of continental blocks within converging plates: insights from the Ovacık Fault (Anatolia, Türkiye)
Zabci, Cengiz; Sançar, Taylan; Tikhomirov, Dmitry; Ivy-Ochs, Susan; Vockenhuber, Christof; Friedrich, Anke M.; Yazici, Müge; Akçar, Naki
The active tectonics of Anatolia is mostly characterized by its westward motion with respect to Eurasia between the Hellenic subduction in the west and Arabia-Eurasia continental collision in the east. Although most of the deformation is suggested to be confined along Anatolia’s boundary elements, viz. the North and East Anatolian shear zones, recent studies indicate a higher magnitude of internal strain accumulation, especially along the parallel/subparallel strike-slip faults of its central province. We present the first morphochronology-based slip rate estimate for one of these strike-slip structures, the Ovacık Fault, by using cosmogenic36Cl dating of offset fluvial deposits. At the Köseler Site (39.3643°N, 39.1688°E), two faulted risers, bounding the alluvial fan with its subplanar surface (NF1/NF1’) and the inset terrace tread (NF1/T2), are offset 19–24 and 15–22 m, respectively. The scattered surface ages and variability of 36 Cl concentrations in depth profiles suggest strong evidence for inheritance in alluvial fan and terrace deposits; thus, we used modelled depth-profile ages for both surfaces. The modelled ages 8–10 ka for NF1 and 6–8 ka for T2 yield slip-rate estimates 2.4 +0.5/–0.4 mm/a and 2.8 +0.7/–0.7 mm/a, respectively, for the upper-tread reconstruction of the NF1/NF1’and the lower-tread reconstruction of the NF1/T2. Our results together with previous slip-rate estimates for other structures show a significant internal deformation for Anatolia, especially along its subparallel strike-slip faults. These secondary faults slice Anatolia into several pieces giving rise to the formation of the Malatya-Erzincan, Cappadocian, and Central Anatolian slices, where the geometry is strongly controlled by the distribution of the Tethyan accretionary complexes.
AtıfScopus3OpenAlex3TR Dizin1İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2021Scopus SJRQ2Palaeoseismic behaviour of strike-slip faults in slowly deforming regions: palaeoearthquakes and long-term slip history of the Ovacik Fault (eastern Turkey)
Yazici, Muge; Zabci, Cengiz; Natal'in, Boris A.; Sançar, Taylan; Akyuz, H. Serdar
The Ovacik Fault (OF) is one of the internal structures of the Anatolian Block, located close to its eastern boundary. Although it shows a very clear surface trace, there are no instrumentally recorded surface rupturing earthquakes on this fault. This study concludes results of the first palaeoseismological trench study on the OF with the evidence for three surface rupturing earthquakes for the last 6 kyr. Structural, stratigraphical and geochronological constraints show that the oldest event happened between 4700 and 3022 BCE, whereas the penultimate event was between 2262 and 1643 BCE. The youngest event happened after 56 BCE, which we could only delimit from below because of the absence of any dateable material from the upper layers of the relevant horizons. The derived mean interevent time of these three palaeoevents is 2400 +/- 765 years. We could not correlate any of these palaeoevents with historical earthquakes due to the absence of records in catalogues for the region of interest. Moreover, we used cumulative offsets of the major drainages to calculate the long-term slip rate of 2.7 mm/year since the Pliocene, which exceeds slip rates of other internal faults of Anatolia almost by the factor of two. Our results do not only show significant deformation for the internal parts of Anatolia but also point out a seismic potential of the OF.
AtıfWoS5OpenAlex5İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2019Scopus SJRQ2Geometry and Paleoseismology of the Malatya Fault (Malatya-Ovack Fault Zone), Eastern Turkey: Implications for intraplate deformation of the Anatolian Scholle
Sançar, Taylan; Zabci, Cengiz; Karabacak, Volkan; Yazici, Muge; Akyüz, H. Serdar
The sinistral Malatya-Ovack Fault Zone (MOFZ) is one of the outstanding intraplate deformation belts within Anatolia. The 165-km-long, NE-SW-striking Malatya Fault (MF), which constitutes the southern section of the MOFZ, is separated into five segments according to its surface geometry. These segments have evident morphotectonic features that reflect long- and short-term fault activity, such as morphologic structures offset by as little as 7m and as much as 7.3km. This study provides results from the first paleoseismological investigations on the MF. We find that the last earthquake occurred between 965 and 549 BCE and calculate a recurrence interval of 2275 +/- 605years from evidence for four paleo-events over the last 10ka. Considering fault segmentation and our paleoseismological data, we propose that the accumulated strain on the MF may cause a destructive earthquake (M=7.4) in the near future. Our results support the hypotheses that the MF and other NW-striking dextral and NE-striking sinistral strike-slip faults within the eastern part of Anatolia are plate boundary-related, active deformational structures.
AtıfWoS19OpenAlex29İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2019Scopus SJRQ1Elimination of a measurement problem: A robust prediction model for missing eigenvector value to assess earthquake induced out-of-plane failure of infill wall
Onat, Onur; Yön, Burak
One of the effective methods to assess local or global behavior of structural system is to perform shake table experiment. The biggest challenge of all experiments, either shake table or others, are missing data during the experiments due to removed instruments. This problem is arose especially during the out-of-plane tests. This problem is named as “Measurement” problem. This paper is focused on detection the measurement problem and solving this problem by using Adaptive-Network Based Neuro Inference System (ANFIS). Definition of the problem is briefly missing out-of-plane eigenvector value during the implementation of a shake table experiments on a full scale one bay one storey reinforced concrete structural system. For this aim, two shake table experiments were performed with reinforced concrete frame (RCF)and infill wall at the National Civil Engineering Laboratory (LNEC)Portugal. The out-of-plane failure of infill wall was assessed under combined bidirectional seismic load. Shake table experiments were conducted on two types of specimens. One of them is Unreinforced Brick Infill Wall (URBIF)composed of single layer 22 cm thick brick. The other is single layer 22 cm thick Infill Wall with Bed Joint Reinforcement solution (IwBJR). Both specimens were made of a single-layer brick infill wall enclosure with the RCF. Bed joint reinforcement term refers horizontal bed joint reinforcement as a strengthening technique. Shake table experiments were performed on each specimen at four stages. After third level of earthquake load, the accelerometers were removed on the wall to prevent damage to them. The removal of these instruments results in missing data. The missing eigenvector values were predicted with a robust Adaptive-Network Based Neuro Inference System (ANFIS)model to present failure mode of infill wall. The estimation quality was tested with R2, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Square Error (MSE)and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)among with available data. The results of the quality indicator of R2 are 0.999 for URBIF model and 0.997 for IwBJR model, respectively. Moreover, rest of the indicator results are less than %1. The proposed approach is reliable on the base of quality indicator. Moreover, this study can be used for seismic engineering to predict eigenvector values to see local behavior of infill wall and mode shape evolution to determine which mod prone for partial and total collapse of infill wall.
AtıfScopus12WoS11OpenAlex10İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2018Scopus SJRQ1Application of Artificial Neural Networks to the prediction of out-of-plane response of infill walls subjected to shake table
Onat, Onur; Gul, Muhammet
The main purpose of this paper is to predict missing absolute out-of-plane displacements and failure limits of infill walls by artificial neural network (ANN) models. For this purpose, two shake table experiments are performed. These experiments are conducted on a 1:1 scale one-bay one-story reinforced concrete frame (RCF) with an infill wall. One of the experimental models is composed of unreinforced brick model (URB) enclosures with an RCF and other is composed of an infill wall with bed joint reinforcement (BJR) enclosures with an RCF. An artificial earthquake load is applied with four acceleration levels to the URB model and with five acceleration levels to the BJR model. After a certain acceleration level, the accelerometers are detached from the wall to prevent damage to them. The removal of these instruments results in missing data. The missing absolute maximum out-of-plane displacements are predicted with ANN models. Failure of the infill wall in the out-of-plane direction is also predicted at the 0.79g acceleration level. An accuracy of 99% is obtained for the available data. In addition, a benchmark analysis with multiple regressionis performed. This study validates that the ANN-based procedure estimates missing experimental data more accurately than multiple regression models.
AtıfScopus33WoS29OpenAlex14İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2018Scopus SJRQ1Assessment of the combined in-plane and out-of-plane behavior of brick infill walls within reinforced concrete frames under seismic loading
Onat, Onur; Correia, António A.; Lourenço, Paulo B.; Koçak, Ali
Understanding the out-of-plane response of masonry infill walls and preventing their progressive collapse mechanisms is very important for earthquake-prone countries to prevent loss of life and economic loss. In fact, having a realistic collapse mechanism assessment allows suitable prevention measures to be adopted. With this purpose in mind, two full-scale one-bay one-story substructures of reinforced concrete frames (RCF) with infill walls were tested on a shake table. These 2 specimens were designed to represent the response of a typical RC Frame at the fifth floor of an 8-story building, namely the out-of-plane failure of its infill wall under combined bidirectional seismic load. Both specimens were composed of a single-leaf clay brick infill wall surrounded by the RC Frame. However, while the first specimen corresponds to an unreinforced masonry configuration, the second specimen includes horizontal bed joint reinforcement as a strengthening/retrofitting technique. The main novelty of this study is the application of a bidirectional and simultaneous dynamic loading to the specimen, such that in-plane and out-of-plane effects are evaluated together. This work presents several interesting experimental results, with particular emphasis on the bearing capacity of the specimens against out-of-plane failure. As expected, the in-plane capacity of the reinforced infill specimen is larger than that of the unreinforced infill specimen. Nevertheless, the out-of-plane bearing capacities of the two specimens are very similar, in contrast to their ductility capacity, which is significantly increased in the reinforced masonry specimen. The capacities of the two specimens for both in-plane and out-of-plane directions, as predicted by formulations in the literature, are given. The differences found between these calculations and the results of the tests are discussed, and may possibly be explained by the parameters considered in the different formulations.
AtıfScopus49OpenAlex44İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2017Scopus SJRQ2Palaeoseismic history of the eastern part of the North Anatolian Fault (Erzincan, Turkey): Implications for the seismicity of the Yedisu seismic gap
Zabci, Cengiz; Akyüz, H. Serdar; Sançar, Taylan
The North Anatolian Fault showed a remarkable seismic activity especially between 1939 and 1999, when the westward migrating earthquake sequence created surface ruptures more than 1000 km, leaving unbroken only the Marmara segments, to the west, and the Yedisu Segment, to the east along the main strand of the fault. To understand the palaeoseismicity of the Yedisu Seismic Gap, we undertook trench investigations close to the village of Balaban SarA +/- kaya, on the western part of the Yedisu Segment. We found evidence for at least five surface faulting earthquakes, from which only two are correlated with the 18 July 1784 CE and 27 June 1583 CE historical events. Although the surface rupture of the 1784 CE was reported by other trench studies, the evidence of 1583 CE event is presented for the first time. In consideration with other historical earthquakes, affecting the region east of Erzincan, we suggest that this particular section of the North Anatolian Fault may be in a seismically quiescent period, following a cluster of earthquakes in its near history. In order to test this hypothesis, further studies are needed to increase our knowledge on the temporal and spatial seismic behaviour of the Yedisu Segment, which has potential to create an earthquake with M (w) similar to 7.2 in the near future.
AtıfWoS15OpenAlex23İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2014Paleoseismology of the Ilipinar Segment (Karliova, Bingol), The North Anatolian Fault Zone
Sançar, Taylan; Akyüz, H. Serdar
The last century earthquakes produced more than 1000 km surface rupture on the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ), which is one of the most active deformation belts in the World. Paleoseismic data from different parts of the NAFZ exposes critical information about the earthquake history of the fault zone. To research paleoseismicity of the Ilipinar Segment and relationship between the segment and last century earthquakes, two paleoseismologic trench studies performed on the Yoncalik basin, where positioned at eastern section of the Ilipinar segment. We identified two paleo-earthquakes, which correspond to BC 8500-6150 and BC 5960-4300 time intervals in the Yoncalik-1 trench. On the other hand the analyses of stratigraphy and structural features of the Yoncalik-2 trench similarly yield two events, from which the older happened before BC 6325 and the younger was between BC 6325-2105. Despite of the wide range of these intervals, both trench results are coincide within their uncertainty limits. We interpret that events in both trenches reflects the same surface ruptures. By the joint analysis of both trenches, we conclude that the most recent and penultimate events should have occurred between BC 5960-4300 and BC 8500-6325, respectively. The results from paleoseismology of the Ilipinar Segment, which constitute the easternmost part of the NAFZ, indicate that the seismic behaviour of the segment is not in accord with the general characteristic of the NAFZ. The reasons behind the disparity are considered to be related with complex fault geometry in the vicinity of Karliova triple junction and partitioning of accumulated strain on these structures.
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